Description
Serie C – Group B: The battle in the heart on Italy – round 23/2026
The Italian Serie C, Group B, is unique football space that covers the central ones regions on The Apennines – Tuscany , Emilia-Romagna , Marche , Umbria , Abruzzo and Sardinia . This is a championship in which tactical maturity and defensiveness organization are elevated to a cult , and the stadiums often is become ” hot ” points ” on the local patriotism .
History and traditions
Founded in the present you format as part from Lega Pro, Group B has always been home on teams that temporarily are dropped out from the elite , but keep its professional structure and huge fan base . In season 2025-2026 does impression the presence on colossi as Ascoli , Perugia , Ternana and Livorno . These clubs no only have decades history in Serie A , but also have budgets that far away exceed the average for the third level .
Statistical profile : ” The Iron” protection ”
Group B is known as the lowest-scoring from the three groups in Serie C. The average value on the goals often falls under 2.15 on match . Here a draw 0:0 or 1:1 is considers for a ” standard ” result , and the first marked goal in 75% of the cases decides the final winner . The home team factor is extremely strong , especially for teams from Sardinia ( as Torres ) or Brand ( as Ascoli and Sambenedettese ), where the visitors teams are subjected on huge psychological pressure .
Transfers and news in 2026. The January
transfer window in 2026 it was exceptionally dynamic . Arezzo and Ternana they did the most serious investments , attracting attackers from Series B, for yes decide the problem with low performance . At the same time time Juventus U23 (Next Gen) continues its politics on playfulness on the biggest talents on Italy , which them does the most unpredictable team in the group – they can yes win the leader and yes lose from the last one within on one week .
Interesting Facts
One from the most anticipated clashes in this round is the derby between Ascoli and Perugia – a match that before years was classic in Serie A. Another interesting this is the project on Campobasso , who with American investments is tries yes break through to the top , counting on modern methodology and aggressive marketing .
Analysis and calculations by the algorithm
Used are the current ones data for the form on the teams as of January 24-25 , 2026.
| Meeting | xG Home . | xG Guest | %1 | %X | %2 | Stability | Index Rabbi . | Harmony Index | V3 (HA) |
| Carpi – Ternana | 1.15 | 1.45 | 29% | 28% | 43% | 0.35 | 0.25 | 7.05 | -0.14 (X2) |
| Torres – Bra | 1.65 | 1.05 | 52% | 24% | 24% | 0.65 | 0.55 | 5.30 | 0.28 (1) |
| Ravenna – Guidonia | 1.78 | 0.95 | 58% | 22% | 20% | 0.82 | 0.75 | 6.44 | 0.38 (1) |
| Sambenedettese – Pianese | 1.35 | 1.25 | 38% | 28% | 34% | 0.21 | 0.12 | 10.66 | 0.04 (X) |
| Arezzo – Juventus U23 | 2.10 | 0.85 | 68% | 19% | 13% | 0.88 | 0.99* | 102.27 | 0.55 (1) |
| Ascoli – Perugia | 1.42 | 1.38 | 37% | 27% | 36% | 0.24 | 0.05 | 9.38 | 0.01 (X) |
| Gubbio – Forli | 1.48 | 1.22 | 42% | 26% | 32% | 0.33 | 0.22 | 7.34 | 0.10 (1X) |
| Livorno – Vis Pesaro | 1.32 | 1.32 | 35% | 28% | 37% | 0.19 | 0.00 | 11.53 | -0.02 (X) |
| Pineto – Campobasso | 1.38 | 1.30 | 38% | 27% | 35% | 0.23 | 0.08 | 9.78 | 0.03 (X) |
* The index for a draw is automatic limited up to 0.99 according to the instructions .
Final summarizing table ( Forecasts )
| Meeting | Estimated Goals | Forecasted exit | Verdict | Category on the match | Coefficient |
| Carpi – Ternana | 1 – 1 | X2 | X2 | Tall risk | 1.36* |
| Torres – Bra | 2 – 1 | 1 | 1 | Tall risk | 1.94 |
| Ravenna – Guidonia | 2 – 0 | 1 | 1 | Tall risk | 1.74 |
| Sambenedettese – Pianese | 1 – 1 | X | X | Medium risk | 2.96 |
| Arezzo – Juventus U23 | 2 – 0 | 1 | 1 | Platinum selection | 1.44 |
| Ascoli – Perugia | 1 – 1 | X | X | Medium risk | 3.32 |
| Gubbio – Forli | 1 – 1 | 1X | 1X | Tall risk | 1.27* |
| Livorno – Vis Pesaro | 1 – 1 | X | X | Medium risk | 3.03 |
| Pineto – Campobasso | 1 – 1 | X | X | Medium risk | 3.05 |
* Odds for double chances are calculated on base available markets .
Conclusions and advice for investment
- Platinum selection : The match Arezzo – Juventus U23 is ours absolute priority . With a Harmony Index of 102.27, the model shows exceptional stability for victory on the hosts who are in excellent condition form after transfers you are .
- Serie C draws : The meetings on Ascoli – Perugia and Livorno – Vis Pesaro are classic examples for tactical outsmarting . With Harmony Index in the zone on ” Medium” risk ” and V3 values close to zero , equality (X) here is the most logical mathematical exit .
- Tall risk : The matches on Ravenna and Torres are in the category ” High” risk “, so as despite that are favorites , stability on model is below 7.50. This means it is possible surprise or minimal victory , which easy can yes is turn into equality .
Tips for safely betting :
- Management on the bank : For the ” Platinum” selection ” we recommend ” bet up to 5% of the bank . For the matches with ” Medium” risk “( equalities ) – no more from 1-2%.
- Systems : Because of the high ones odds for equality in this group , “3 out of 5 ” system for the predicted hicks can yes be very profitable strategy .
- Discipline : Never no bet emotionally . If given match no answers on the criteria on the algorithm , the better it skip .
- Responsible game : Football analyses are mathematical probability , not guarantee . Bet only amounts that you can yes you allow yes losses .
Good luck with your investments in the Italian market. Series C!
